The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) China office released its Poultry and Products Annual report on July 13, 2026. The report forecasts chicken meat production will reach 19.0 million metric tons (MMT) in 2027, driven by expansion of white broiler production as large integrated companies continue investing in new capacity. Higher domestic production is outpacing demand growth, pushing imports lower while exports surge. China's chicken meat exports by volume rose 51 percent year-on-year during January–May 2026, reaching 546,000 MT.
Based on January-June 2026 trade data, FAS raised its 2026 production and export estimates and lowered its 2026 import estimate. Following the May 2026 presidential summit in Beijing, China restored poultry market access for 17 U.S. states based on highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) status. The near-term impact on U.S.
poultry exports to China is expected to be limited. The report was prepared by the Office of Agricultural Affairs in Beijing and is available on the FAS GAIN database.